Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2859.244399 3092.794894 3329.634545 3587.470842 3859.930305 4138.957770 4445.985338
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2465.349675 2810.803129 3174.492709 3584.690204 4033.225156 4507.555786 5045.841999
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2254.854755 2672.329487 3123.983747 3646.403214 4231.444611 4863.884388 5596.656980
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2043.002024 2505.073905 3016.978144 3622.014275 4313.349713 5074.479443 5971.512077
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1929.946620 2435.950920 3007.859001 3696.071693 4495.553469 5388.901033 6456.263046
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1805.573361 2342.354213 2960.580843 3717.059674 4609.294292 5619.827523 6842.183042
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1688.216153 2248.042721 2904.391029 3720.146339 4695.902634 5814.774563 7183.425772
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1527.675387 2091.276001 2764.529806 3614.977290 4647.033814 5845.468698 7328.149876
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1493.196244 2087.474234 2807.478322 3728.074913 4857.282995 6180.730584 7831.672984
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1443.265811 2060.503296 2818.908443 3800.264439 5016.670878 6455.203073 8264.104843
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1364.124714 1991.525524 2773.964588 3799.187256 5083.885652 6617.374015 8561.575289
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1278.743480 1909.879942 2708.923131 3769.157197 5112.220996 6730.192531 8798.133493
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1224.899931 1868.647999 2695.095761 3804.418300 5223.610888 6947.574695 9167.043158
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1158.666443 1807.567698 2652.897653 3801.260593 5285.449695 7103.817021 9462.232100
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1124.293243 1788.137202 2663.858890 3865.729707 5432.526655 7365.926765 9889.137638
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1058.003956 1720.907563 2608.176054 3840.252652 5462.281097 7480.171207 10132.120809
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1034.389635 1712.626234 2630.841106 3917.608382 5624.588082 7761.515589 10585.020058
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 992.497620 1675.988750 2613.069907 3939.528010 5713.842834 7950.234700 10922.360386
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 946.791382 1631.587381 2582.668930 3942.751577 5777.374511 8105.646551 11217.898779
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 866.456331 1532.118894 2471.824705 3832.901363 5688.102117 8062.455780 11259.041259
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 864.148550 1549.859488 2526.546236 3951.031670 5903.622897 8413.989077 11806.626618
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 848.613674 1546.523087 2550.597581 4026.412996 6062.064149 8692.408054 12262.222578
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 810.670414 1506.824316 2520.784494 4025.288301 6116.344049 8834.757123 12542.909489